How the estimate works
A planning model, not a store prediction
The calculator solves for the number of new ratings required to move a simple weighted average from the current score to the target score. It assumes the existing average and rating count are accurate and that future ratings arrive at the average you entered.
needed = current count × (target − current rating) ÷ (new-rating average − target)Why the public store rating can differ
- Apple App Store: the product page shows an overview rating by country or region, and developers can reset the overview rating with a new version. Written reviews are not removed by that reset.
- Google Play: the public rating is weighted toward more recent ratings. Google also delays the public effect of new ratings while it checks for suspicious activity.
- Both stores: displayed rounding, regional views, removed ratings, and user rating updates can make the visible result differ from a lifetime-average model.